Unruly-Publicity
0x7e0b6bf7d79142d1c913094765203e01fb8ce169
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$183.93
Total PnL
$-64.78
Realised
$-53.70
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?
51 shares @ 85.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$50.63
$7.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?
289 shares @ 9.6¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$21.71
$-5.99
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 20?
56 shares @ 37.4¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$18.06
$-3.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?
26 shares @ 62.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$17.89
$1.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?
80 shares @ 16.4¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$15.69
$2.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on June 19?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$14.81
$-0.04
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?
39 shares @ 18.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$11.19
$4.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 18?
9 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$9.49
$0.14
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$4.96
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 20?
19 shares @ 31.3¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$4.78
$-1.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 20?$1.32Jun 18, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?$43.45Jun 18, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 18?$13.54Jun 18, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 18?$24.98Jun 18, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 20?$3.98Jun 18, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?$1.14Jun 18, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?$0.94Jun 18, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 20?$0.05Jun 18, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 20?$0.26Jun 18, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?$11.27Jun 18, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 20?$1.38Jun 18, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 18?$0.00Jun 18, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 20?$27.38Jun 18, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 20?$36.68Jun 18, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 20?$21.52Jun 18, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?$4.78Jun 18, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?$15.87Jun 18, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?$13.79Jun 18, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?$3.87Jun 18, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?$2.24Jun 18, 14:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $13.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 14:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 18:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.