Third-Inauguration
0x7e10297fdb00ebe385e69ac3862ccf70f596558c
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$598.77
Total PnL
$-42.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
783 shares @ 69.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$598.77
$58.70
- YES
Will "Gas Price" or "Gas Station" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
134 shares @ 74.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$4.59Jul 14, 06:41 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.23Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.38Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$20.01Jul 13, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$13.80Jul 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$85.56Jul 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$207.00Jul 13, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$15.18Jul 13, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$21.30Jul 13, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$33.12Jul 13, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$141.23Jul 13, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLMacron out by June 30, 2026?$335.29Jun 22, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mission Accomplished" during Address to the Nation?$447.42Apr 2, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mission Accomplished" during Address to the Nation?$384.38Apr 1, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill "China" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$115.34Mar 23, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Gas Price" or "Gas Station" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$100.00Mar 19, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "China" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$100.00Mar 19, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMMore EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?$469.03Mar 19, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMore EU sanctions on Russia by March 31?$319.10Feb 27, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump approval Up or Down this week?$102.79Feb 13, 19:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $128.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 16:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 06:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.