Scarce-Page
0x7e14247fe1f2594fa03c9b80dd7b413d31820fb8
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-104.11
Realised
$9.82
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in January 2026?
2409 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-57.90
- YES
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in January 2026?
1947 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
300 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
42 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-18.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
42 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
13 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$11.15Feb 14, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$11.15Feb 14, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$10.93Feb 14, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 28, 3PM ET$0.00Jan 28, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?$0.93Jan 28, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?$2.38Jan 28, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in January 2026?$2.38Jan 28, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in January 2026?$33.90Jan 28, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in January 2026?$20.00Jan 28, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in January 2026?$20.00Jan 28, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in January 2026?$4.00Jan 28, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in January 2026?$2.00Jan 28, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 28, 3PM ET$20.00Jan 28, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.80Jan 27, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.30Jan 26, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill monthly inflation be between 2.9% and 3.1% in January?$0.50Jan 21, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?$18.93Jan 21, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation be between 2.9% and 3.1% in January?$1.00Jan 20, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 20, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.00Jan 20, 09:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $6.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 12:36 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.