Alarmed-Thongs
0x7e144063a03ddead89ddefde108ae1b6b295bc68
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump lead in RCP by 0.5-0.9 on Nov 4?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the AP call the election on November 16?
148 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Renato Usatîi win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?
140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will Andy Beshear be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
134 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will another team win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?
113 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
109 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will another team win La Liga?
99 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?
68 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Trump sentenced to between 12 and 23 months prison time?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
45 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.09
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?$3.83Feb 21, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Hornets$57.00Feb 21, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026?$3.81Feb 17, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Hornets$33.06Feb 17, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another team win La Liga?$0.10Feb 13, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?$0.13Jan 18, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?$0.00Jan 18, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.12Dec 1, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another team win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?$0.11Nov 24, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AP call the election on November 16?$0.15Nov 6, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.12Nov 5, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump lead in RCP by 0.5-0.9 on Nov 4?$0.15Nov 4, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renato Usatîi win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?$0.14Nov 4, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate from another party win Maryland Presidential Election?$0.06Nov 4, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: Other$0.28Nov 4, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nico Williams win the Ballon d’Or?$0.00Nov 4, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Tampa Bay Rays win the World Series?$0.00Nov 4, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?$0.00Nov 4, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Chicago Cubs win the World Series?$0.00Nov 4, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maryland Presidential Election?$0.12Oct 20, 22:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $40.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 17, 12:36 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 21, 19:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".