Ill-Fated-Simplicity
0x7e150f7e39370953474813b5750fd5c687b302be
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$92.09
Total PnL
$-10.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9?
92 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$92.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 1?
1300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 28?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on February 3?
990 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9?$92.01Jun 9, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?$92.18Jun 9, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?$92.01Jun 5, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$92.09Jun 5, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$92.01May 25, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?$91.09May 25, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?$91.01May 21, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$91.18May 21, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$91.01May 14, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?$91.09May 14, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?$91.00May 9, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?$91.09May 9, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?$91.01May 5, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$91.17May 5, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$91.00Apr 28, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 24?$91.08Apr 28, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 24?$91.00Apr 24, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 19?$91.09Apr 24, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 19?$91.00Apr 19, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on April 16?$91.08Apr 19, 02:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $88.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 13:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 11:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.