Torn-Diploma
0x7e18c59e13e19f500566bca46a9f27b23decb3ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-741.40
Realised
$2.99
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11?
1149 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?
1146 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?
344 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 27?
329 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 17?
241 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13?
205 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 28?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 28?$10.00Jul 28, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 28?$3.60Jul 27, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 28?$3.60Jul 27, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 27?$10.30Jul 27, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 27?$5.13Jul 26, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 26?$5.87Jul 26, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 26?$2.51Jul 26, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on July 26?$4.07Jul 26, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on July 25?$0.21Jul 25, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on July 25?$5.13Jul 25, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 24?$9.83Jul 24, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 24?$3.46Jul 24, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 24?$3.45Jul 24, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23?$9.82Jul 23, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 23?$5.12Jul 23, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23?$3.41Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 23?$3.35Jul 22, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 22?$6.02Jul 22, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 22?$4.07Jul 21, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 21?$0.13Jul 21, 21:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
55% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 22:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 22:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.