Dutiful-Cellar
0x7e1bd1c503e70b7c44739327f8126155cf7f3e9d
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$12.21
Total PnL
$-43.52
Realised
$4.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on May 6?
200 shares @ 5.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$4.90
$-6.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 33°F or below on May 6?
32 shares @ 9.6¢·now 11.9¢·exp May 6, 2026$3.83
$0.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 5?
199 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 5, 2026$3.48
$-4.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 22?
345 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 21?
152 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-7.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 24?
85 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 2?
76 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 21?
56 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 22?
41 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on April 20?
27 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on May 6?$12.456h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 33°F or below on May 6?$0.896h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 33°F or below on May 6?$2.356h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 5?$0.407h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 5?$7.937h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 2?$6.264d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 2?$0.944d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 25?$0.3611d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 24?$6.5713d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 24?$0.6313d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 24?$0.5513d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 22?$1.7114d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 21?$0.2614d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 22?$3.1114d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 21?$3.3314d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 21?$1.9914d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on April 23?$0.4014d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 21?$5.5815d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 21?$2.3915d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 22?$3.5215d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $4.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 18d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".