Circular-Friendship
0x7e1be318a41de01d57c8dd107c842a33e8b6a7ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-278.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
769 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?
114 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will NASA estimate a 4% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Was JFK assassination an inside job?
109 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
105 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
101 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Zelenskyy impeached before July?
93 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
85 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
80 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. before April? $6.25Sep 3, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?$41.51Sep 3, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Mar 17, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMGold missing from Fort Knox?$0.00Mar 17, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill 100-150k federal employees accept the buyout?$0.00Mar 17, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEM25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$0.00Mar 17, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in ECB interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$0.00Mar 17, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$7.85Mar 3, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy impeached before July?$8.00Mar 1, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 50-100k federal employees accept the buyout?$5.04Mar 1, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RFK remove raw milk ban?$5.14Mar 1, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $99,000 on February 28?$0.00Mar 1, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?$0.00Mar 1, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?$6.33Mar 1, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeorgescu banned from Romania election?$10.00Mar 1, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?$10.00Mar 1, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Pope in 2025?$13.21Mar 1, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?$10.00Mar 1, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by December 31, 2025?$10.00Mar 1, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?$10.00Mar 1, 09:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $7.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 12:53 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 3, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".