0x7e26b8d2c98f06b976d7421baccda29c044d2823
0x7e26b8d2c98f06b976d7421baccda29c044d2823
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-59.10
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 30?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
61 shares @ 63.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-38.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
61 shares @ 64.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-39.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
60 shares @ 61.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-37.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
60 shares @ 64.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-38.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
59 shares @ 65.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-38.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
58 shares @ 61.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-35.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
57 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.57
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
57 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-31.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
57 shares @ 64.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-36.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 15, 1AM ET$30.93Jul 15, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 15, 1AM ET$30.06Jul 15, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 15, 1AM ET$30.08Jul 15, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 15, 12AM ET$31.25Jul 15, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 12AM ET$31.58Jul 15, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 12AM ET$30.10Jul 15, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 15, 12AM ET$30.08Jul 15, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 14, 11PM ET$31.25Jul 15, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 14, 11PM ET$31.58Jul 15, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 11PM ET$31.58Jul 15, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11PM ET$31.58Jul 15, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 14, 11PM ET$30.10Jul 15, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11PM ET$30.10Jul 15, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 11PM ET$30.10Jul 15, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 14, 11PM ET$30.08Jul 15, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10PM ET$31.25Jul 15, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 10PM ET$31.58Jul 15, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 14, 10PM ET$31.25Jul 15, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 14, 10PM ET$31.46Jul 15, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10PM ET$30.08Jul 15, 02:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $30.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 23:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 06:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.