Stiff-Inspection
0x7e26f348bd4557ca9b13b05b777c3151c2bd915c
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$29.99
Total PnL
$-1.10
Realised
$2.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
46 shares @ 50.4¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$23.37
$0.27
- NO
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?
4 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.54
$0.04
- YES
Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.44
$0.59
- YES
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
29 shares @ 15.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.87
$-3.43
- YES
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by July 31?
3 shares @ 43.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.77
$-0.73
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?$1.24Jul 11, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump praise Allah again by July 31?$1.28Jul 11, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?$1.40Jul 11, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by July 31?$1.86Jul 11, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?$0.87Jul 11, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by July 31?$1.53Jul 11, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?$4.30Jul 11, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?$3.51Jul 11, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLMoscow air traffic suspended by July 17?$0.85Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?$7.55Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoscow air traffic suspended by July 17?$1.75Jul 11, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$16.60Jul 10, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?$6.40Jul 10, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?$2.20Jul 10, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$6.50Jul 10, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$3.53Jul 10, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$0.37Jul 10, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$0.37Jul 10, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$4.75Jul 10, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$2.60Jul 10, 13:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 04:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 22:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.