Noisy-Repayment
0x7e2a2fe4162dac81e1caa084e3a74f350736d881
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$28.75
Total PnL
$-40.57
Realised
$1.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
14 shares @ 75.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$13.81
$3.29
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.01
$1.01
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.35
$0.70
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
6 shares @ 71.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.58
$-0.42
- BILIBILI GAMING
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
4360 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
411 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
407 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
11 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
7 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
6 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$4.00Jun 12, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 14?$5.13Jun 11, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?$4.68Jun 11, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 14?$4.75Jun 11, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$3.87Jun 10, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$4.59Jun 10, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$2.72Jun 9, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$1.09Jun 8, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$0.14Jun 8, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$2.55Jun 8, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$0.33Jun 8, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$0.26Jun 8, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 8?$3.54Jun 8, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$4.51Jun 8, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 8?$3.39Jun 8, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?$4.09Jun 8, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.26Jun 8, 11:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$0.77Jun 7, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$4.18Jun 7, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.44Jun 5, 06:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 14:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 09:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.