Jumpy-Analogue
0x7e2b3ba23de833c7a5e930ad90587f5995f3cfc0
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-44.19
Win rate
0%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
1025 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?
349 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-46.99
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
326 shares @ 92.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
185 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
152 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
117 shares @ 85.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
112 shares @ 89.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
77 shares @ 64.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
74 shares @ 86.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-64.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$10.22Jul 15, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$4.72Jul 15, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$10.16Jul 15, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$5.84Jul 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$5.20Jul 15, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$14.71Jul 15, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$10.22Jul 15, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$10.00Jul 15, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$8.26Jul 15, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$9.26Jul 14, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$5.09Jul 14, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$5.01Jul 14, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$6.28Jul 14, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$5.08Jul 14, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$8.45Jul 14, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$6.12Jul 14, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$6.06Jul 14, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$5.72Jul 14, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$5.78Jul 14, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$5.24Jul 14, 09:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $13.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 13:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 08:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.