Merry-Paper
0x7e2befc5c9e98301b124261cfa389b9000d59a6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$16.24
Total PnL
$-2.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
4 shares @ 71.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.21
$1.21
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
3 shares @ 65.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.07
$1.07
- NO
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.74
$0.74
- YES
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Russian strike on Poland by December 31?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
6 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMNorth Korea missile launch by October 15?$1.19Dec 19, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$1.33Dec 19, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMSouth Park: Trump x Satan baby is another sex or never revealed?$2.00Dec 19, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$1.09Oct 22, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?$1.00Oct 10, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$0.00Oct 9, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Iraq by October 31?$1.03Oct 8, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$1.00Oct 8, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$1.00Oct 8, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$1.00Oct 8, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$1.00Oct 8, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$3.27Oct 8, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$1.00Oct 4, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?$1.17Oct 4, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 3, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrokipedia released by December 31?$1.00Oct 2, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by October 31?$1.00Oct 2, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$1.00Oct 2, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$1.00Oct 2, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$1.00Oct 2, 21:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 25, 21:27 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 19, 14:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.