0x7e304393749568477c7fc929d7bc748c8a959d35
0x7e304393749568477c7fc929d7bc748c8a959d35
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
156
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-544.40
Realised
$-255.74
Win rate
0%
123 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 156- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on April 18?
1904 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 18?
1902 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 17?
1646 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 12?
1097 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-12.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 0°C or below on April 10?
1064 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 19?
538 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-7.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on April 5?
408 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 5°C or below on April 11?
339 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 18?
297 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be -2°C or below on April 20?
294 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 13?$0.00Jul 14, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 2?$0.00Jul 13, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 12?$0.00Jul 13, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 4?$0.00Jul 13, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 2?$0.00Jun 30, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 6?$0.00Jun 30, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 4?$0.00Jun 29, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 8?$0.00Jun 29, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 3?$0.00Jun 25, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 17?$0.00Jun 15, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 8?$0.00Jun 15, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 13?$0.24Jun 12, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 13?$0.08Jun 12, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on June 13?$1.64Jun 12, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 13?$0.74Jun 12, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 13?$1.16Jun 12, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 13?$0.11Jun 12, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 13?$0.89Jun 12, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 13?$1.05Jun 11, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 12?$0.56Jun 11, 23:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 123 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 21/100.
123 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $0.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 23:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 08:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 123 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.