Plain-Diagnosis
0x7e329d84cbe48f9d6227e9bdcf993f86424fa195
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
136380 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-6.3K
- YES
Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
3433 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
210 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 20, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$6.2KAug 1, 23:02 UTC
- REWARD$0.13Jul 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$1.0KJul 30, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$1.0KJul 30, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$3.0KJul 30, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$1.9KJul 30, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$401.14Jul 30, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$5.3KJul 30, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$49.55Jul 28, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$12.77Jul 28, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$35.14Jul 28, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$144.34Jul 28, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$15.84Jul 28, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$14.88Jul 28, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$12.77Jul 28, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$29.28Jul 28, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$14.80Jul 28, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$4.80Jul 28, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$6.72Jul 28, 23:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $505.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 20:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.