Secondary-Variety
0x7e33a3029979a6a3bc4d39ce3ff25973fab4fe0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$870.03
Total PnL
$-199.39
Realised
$-0.96
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
68 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$67.99
$2.56
- NO
Will Dana White attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
69 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.5¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$66.55
$0.17
- NO
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
60 shares @ 95.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$59.38
$1.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 8?
57 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$56.41
$1.14
- NO
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?
57 shares @ 97.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$54.83
$-0.43
- NO
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–10%?
53 shares @ 96.5¢·now 95.7¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$50.27
$-0.40
- NO
Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
49 shares @ 97.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$46.83
$-0.20
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?
47 shares @ 95.8¢·now 95.8¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$45.34
$-0.04
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $300 Week of August 3 2026?
47 shares @ 96.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$44.10
$-1.45
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
42 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$41.45
$1.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?$55.26Aug 6, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–10%?$50.74Aug 6, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?$66.90Aug 6, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after August 2026 meeting?$48.43Aug 6, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Kim win the 2026 Wyndham Championship?$41.36Aug 6, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 8?$55.35Aug 6, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 6?$31.34Aug 6, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $300 Week of August 3 2026?$45.62Aug 6, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 180m?$5.90Aug 6, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$102.04Aug 6, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 180m?$31.56Aug 6, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 6?$76.53Aug 6, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 6?$76.84Aug 6, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?$22.90Aug 6, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Cooke be the WI-03 Democratic nominee?$0.76Aug 6, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Cooke be the WI-03 Democratic nominee?$34.50Aug 6, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?$25.97Aug 6, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?$39.77Aug 6, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?$40.45Aug 6, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$47.08Aug 6, 08:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $43.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 22:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.