Joyous-Birdwatcher
0x7e4186726bc1de8c420fad7178a8c343f32401e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$9.87
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-6.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8?
10 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$9.87
$0.69
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
3713 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?
1538 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?
1363 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%?
1154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?
593 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-450.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Israel by Nov 8?$9.18Nov 6, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$0.02Nov 6, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$1.56Nov 6, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64$7.61Nov 6, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$457.87Nov 5, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 3-4%?$150.00Nov 5, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 2-3%?$200.00Nov 5, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 1-2%?$200.00Nov 5, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$200.00Nov 5, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64$400.00Nov 5, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.5KNov 5, 03:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $284.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 03:57 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 23:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".