0x7e4515b847bdf8a8d8f1697880e91b557677ab5f
0x7e4515b847bdf8a8d8f1697880e91b557677ab5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$9.43
Total PnL
$-39.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Eric Adams drop out?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$9.43
$4.43
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
70 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
32 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
32 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on September 17?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?
16 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
OpenAI browser in July?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 17?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on September 17?$6.00Sep 16, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 17?$5.00Sep 16, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $4300 on September 10?$10.64Sep 16, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Sep 16, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$5.00Sep 16, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $4300 on September 10?$5.00Sep 9, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams drop out?$5.00Sep 9, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$31.18Sep 9, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$13.83Jul 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$10.00Jul 23, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chainlink hit $30 before August?$3.52Jul 18, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$85.95Jul 18, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP all time high before October?$47.62Jul 17, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink hit $30 before August?$3.00Jul 16, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?$11.00Jul 16, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP all time high before October?$20.00Jul 14, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum close above $2600 on July 31?$34.00Jul 14, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3100 in July?$18.25Jul 14, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP all time high before October?$14.00Jul 14, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$10.00Jul 10, 22:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $14.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 03:02 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 16, 21:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.