Lone-Leader
0x7e4a4fb38e14e92d83cf72fdb4b24db4ca66e799
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-47.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on May 3?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$5.00
$2.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on April 5?
874 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on April 5?
475 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 5?
468 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or higher on April 6?
333 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on April 5?
271 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 5?
227 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 5?
215 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 6?
199 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on April 7?
159 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 4?$1.06May 3, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 4?$3.36May 3, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on May 3?$2.20May 3, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on April 28?$1.24Apr 28, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 82°F or higher on April 7?$0.02Apr 7, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on April 6?$25.83Apr 6, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or higher on April 6?$1.65Apr 4, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 5?$0.47Apr 4, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 5?$0.08Apr 4, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 5?$2.57Apr 4, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 5?$2.26Apr 4, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 5?$0.73Apr 4, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 5?$4.51Apr 4, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 82°F or higher on April 7?$0.15Apr 4, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on April 5?$5.67Apr 4, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 82°F or higher on April 7?$0.50Apr 4, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on April 7?$4.38Apr 4, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 6?$2.33Apr 4, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on April 6?$3.45Apr 4, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or higher on April 6?$7.51Apr 4, 14:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 14:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 19:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".