Imaginary-Ligand
0x7e4b5ace7e7caf3d10d7d289b88159bdd2bbfce4
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$115.93
Total PnL
$-36.31
Realised
$1.54
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
77 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.82
$14.59
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?
22 shares @ 91.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$21.55
$1.74
- NO
Will Trump say "Eisenhower" this week? (February 1)
18 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$17.56
$3.69
- NO
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $325 on January 28?
223 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on January 28?
158 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.07
- YES
Will Trump say "Depreciate" or "Depreciation" during remarks on January 28?
100 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will Trump say "Insurance Company" during remarks on January 28?
60 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will Trump say "Too Late" during remarks on January 28?
60 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will Trump say "Greenland" during remarks on January 28?
60 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during January press conference?
56 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Median" during January press conference?$0.18Jan 29, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Probability" during January press conference?$0.33Jan 29, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Buy a Dell Computer" during remarks on January 28?$0.65Jan 29, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kid" or "Child" 10+ times during remarks on January 28?$0.84Jan 29, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?$0.89Jan 29, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Stock Market" during January press conference?$25.00Jan 29, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks on January 28?$30.77Jan 29, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?$23.25Jan 29, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Eisenhower" this week? (February 1)$13.87Jan 29, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Osyf be the Democratic nominee for VA-02?$0.24Jan 29, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?$41.33Jan 29, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$23.25Jan 29, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$4.70Jan 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$18.80Jan 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?$18.20Jan 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?$4.50Jan 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?$18.00Jan 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?$18.40Jan 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?$4.65Jan 29, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?$18.60Jan 29, 00:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $11.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 00:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".