Careless-Sub
0x7e4d88804671e1f1f0a485c11e4a9ebb9f8b0c26
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$510.67
Total PnL
$2.46
Realised
$0.90
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
345 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$345.28
$1.38
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?
162 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$162.15
$0.16
- NO
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.24
$0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?$0.00May 15, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$0.00May 15, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C or below on April 13?$86.91May 13, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 21?$241.23May 13, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 10?$299.28May 13, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?$162.00Apr 19, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 21?$241.00Apr 19, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C or below on April 13?$86.83Apr 11, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 10?$299.00Apr 9, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$344.00Apr 8, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of March?$272.27Apr 2, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 20?$132.40Mar 21, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 20?$132.00Mar 20, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of March?$272.00Mar 20, 01:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Mar 18, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$761.53Mar 17, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 17?$145.15Mar 17, 04:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Mar 17, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$763.07Mar 16, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 17?$145.00Mar 16, 07:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $355.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 16:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 12:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.