Moist-Wifi
0x7e57da6c819c33f90a05f67fddeae8e2409d1006
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-857.43
Realised
$82.59
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 17?
1200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 2PM ET
1138 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 25?
1038 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-24.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 17?
995 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 17?
934 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 8?
876 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-48.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 2PM ET
858 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.28
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 6?
739 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 1?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Johannes Kaiser come in third in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
492 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 10?$18.41Apr 10, 01:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 10?$19.11Apr 10, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 10?$2.43Apr 10, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 10?$2.52Apr 10, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 10?$18.73Apr 10, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$14.16Apr 10, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$8.49Apr 10, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 10?$36.33Apr 10, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 10?$29.65Apr 10, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3PM ET$8.42Feb 3, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 3?$0.00Feb 3, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 3?$0.00Feb 3, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 3?$0.00Feb 3, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$8.45Feb 3, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$7.92Feb 3, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?$7.92Feb 3, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?$1.25Feb 3, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?$1.25Feb 3, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?$12.98Feb 3, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 3?$0.10Feb 3, 04:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $14.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 15:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 01:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.