Big-Hearted-Warning-Fingernail
0x7e5d2991c2647de2348287e2f499329fc6a6c4c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
158
Open notional
$4.9K
Total PnL
$-8.0K
Realised
$-370.27
Win rate
0%
54 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
3774 shares @ 0.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$2.4K
$2.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
2763 shares @ 0.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$980.78
$980.78
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
1995 shares @ 0.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$947.43
$947.43
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
991 shares @ 0.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$520.39
$520.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
2751 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-425.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
1215 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-301.15
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
1097 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-326.70
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
1062 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-390.67
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
879 shares @ 69.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-612.23
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
830 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-143.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$2.10Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$14.70Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$7.86Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.01Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$42.00Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$14.40Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$2.15Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$3.52Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$30.10Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$12.90Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$47.25Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.01Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$15.30Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$9.25Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.58Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$8.78Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$12.40Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.73Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$8.11Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$9.75Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 54 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
54 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $14.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 21:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 54 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.