Irresponsible-Subway
0x7e60eca6305292a1fa16b5f9e028535f4988a2dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$9.17
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.17
$-10.83
- SABALENKA
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
2110 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?
1426 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
1083 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?
946 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
922 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-38.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February?
918 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?
767 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June?
723 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 24?$6.29Apr 2, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on March 29?$8.19Apr 2, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on March 29?$8.00Mar 29, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 24?$6.00Mar 24, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on March 22?$10.31Mar 24, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on March 22?$10.00Mar 22, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on February 18?$10.17Mar 22, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on February 18?$20.77Mar 22, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 17?$30.67Mar 22, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on February 17?$43.48Mar 22, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on February 18?$20.00Feb 17, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on February 17?$20.42Feb 17, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on February 18?$10.00Feb 17, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 16?$30.71Feb 17, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on February 17?$20.00Feb 17, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on February 17?$20.00Feb 17, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 17?$30.00Feb 17, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on February 17?$20.00Feb 16, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on February 15?$20.50Feb 16, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 16?$30.00Feb 16, 11:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $48.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 05:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.