Diligent-Waitress
0x7e6d866ae79a4c75f2d5e89536b0b8d18a69a41b
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-544.44
Realised
$-1.32
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C or higher on July 20?
1002 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 21?$0.74Jul 21, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 21?$0.96Jul 21, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 21?$1.06Jul 21, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 21?$0.93Jul 21, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 21?$0.94Jul 21, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 21?$1.01Jul 21, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 21?$1.02Jul 21, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 21?$1.02Jul 21, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 21?$1.02Jul 21, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 21?$1.02Jul 21, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?$1.08Jul 21, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?$1.01Jul 21, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 22?$0.01Jul 21, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on July 22?$0.00Jul 21, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 22?$0.02Jul 21, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 22?$0.02Jul 21, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 22?$0.04Jul 21, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 22?$0.05Jul 21, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 22?$0.03Jul 21, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on July 22?$0.07Jul 21, 01:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 00:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 03:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.