Petty-Picket
0x7e77f713778eddae455e07c9f212c15f773c102e
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
161
Open notional
$372.65
Total PnL
$-190.06
Realised
$-3.80
Win rate
0%
106 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 161- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 13?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$9.85
$2.85
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$8.27
$1.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 14?
9 shares @ 80.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$7.96
$0.96
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 13?
8 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$7.86
$0.86
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 13?
8 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$7.52
$0.52
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on August 14?
8 shares @ 84.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$7.46
$0.46
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 13?
8 shares @ 84.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$7.33
$0.33
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 14?
7 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$7.26
$0.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on August 13?
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$7.24
$0.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 13?
8 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$7.24
$0.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$2.98Aug 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$2.73Aug 13, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.69Aug 13, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.49Aug 13, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.03Aug 13, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.03Aug 13, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.02Aug 13, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.64Aug 13, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.69Aug 13, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.03Aug 13, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.03Aug 13, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 15?$7.02Aug 13, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$5.99Aug 13, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$2.73Aug 13, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$4.68Aug 13, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$2.45Aug 13, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$1.49Aug 13, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$1.23Aug 13, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$1.38Aug 13, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$1.02Aug 13, 04:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 106 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
106 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 03:44 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 06:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 106 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.