Descriptive-Patrol
0x7e7bca4a50c8da7932ab762bc111b5e54343e425
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-154.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1770 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting?
687 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during the announcement on Thursday?
550 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during the announcement on Thursday?
350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will The Strangers - Chapter 3 be the highest grossing movie this weekend?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US strike another country first?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?
256 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 5.5 AND Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to Score AND Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16?$4.00Jul 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: Both Teams to Score AND Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5) AND Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$4.39Jul 17, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5$8.29Jul 14, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5$18.51Jul 14, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5$14.49Jun 12, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners$3.91Jun 12, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$6.04Jun 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5$10.09Jun 12, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$7.16Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5$5.02Jun 11, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$2.05Jun 11, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$4.99Jun 11, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$5.57Jun 11, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMBolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5$14.71Jun 11, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5$5.10Jun 10, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5$14.90Apr 8, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?$6.50Mar 4, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast say "Donated" or "Raised" during his next YouTube video?$5.55Mar 4, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Donated" or "Raised" during his next YouTube video?$10.00Mar 4, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iran" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 8)$5.00Mar 4, 00:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 20:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 20:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.