Excited-Letter
0x7e850c949418b15b8a85c11cc0b5279eb7c6769e
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$22.00
Total PnL
$-7.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?
22 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$22.00
$11.66
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
37 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.16
- NO
Trump wins every swing state?
29 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-8.77
- YES
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
10 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.85
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Jew" or "Jewish" during his victory/concession speech?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?$10.34Nov 18, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$4.81Nov 14, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?$5.00Nov 5, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "Jew" or "Jewish" during his victory/concession speech?$1.00Nov 4, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?$1.85Nov 4, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?$2.90Nov 4, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$1.25Nov 4, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.16Nov 4, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Nov 4, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$4.39Nov 6, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$1.00Nov 6, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$1.00Nov 6, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.30Nov 6, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$9.68Nov 6, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?$0.00Nov 6, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Women's sports" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?$0.00Oct 23, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?$0.00Oct 23, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?$0.29Oct 20, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$4.38Oct 20, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Women's sports" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?$4.20Oct 20, 03:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $3.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 03:45 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 18, 13:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".