Violet-Decisionmaking
0x7e85b0ef6f24064d331a243d5c5f76e807a9d368
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$25.87
Total PnL
$-17.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.31
$3.31
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.08
$0.08
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.45
$-1.55
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
8 shares @ 30.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.01
$-0.27
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.52
$-0.48
- SHNAIDER
Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Diana Shnaider
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (February 8)$1.47May 4, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" this week? (February 8)$1.61May 4, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)$1.85May 4, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?$5.62May 4, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$7.95May 4, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.28Feb 4, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "TikTok" this week? (February 8)$1.00Feb 4, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" this week? (February 8)$1.00Feb 4, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (February 8)$1.00Feb 4, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8)$1.00Feb 4, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? $1.00Feb 2, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?$5.00Feb 2, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$1.02Feb 2, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$3.95Feb 2, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$6.33Feb 2, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.99Jan 29, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: January$3.13Jan 27, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.16Jan 27, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$0.97Jan 27, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$0.99Jan 27, 11:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 11:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 14:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".