Writhing-Alert
0x7e8d98e9da29b71d9f2677049c814ffe99558da4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-497.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.40 and $2.50 on January 12?
282 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.19
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 10?
281 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on January 2?
280 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.31
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 13?
278 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $96,000 on January 5?
277 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on January 3?
276 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 15?
276 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.76
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on December 31?
274 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 14?
273 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 14?
272 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 9?$3.24Jul 8, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 2?$77.00Jul 2, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 2?$75.46Jul 1, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?$69.61Jun 1, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?$0.09May 31, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?$68.06May 31, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 28?$2.08May 28, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 24?$64.69May 24, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 24?$63.20May 23, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 19?$3.09May 18, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 13?$77.00May 13, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 13?$73.53May 13, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 20?$25.00Apr 20, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 April 13-19?$2.06Apr 19, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,950 on March 27?$100.27Apr 19, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 15?$3.32Apr 15, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 8?$0.00Apr 11, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit 20100 (LOW) in March?$1.47Mar 31, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 15?$0.00Mar 31, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 1?$0.00Mar 29, 18:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $29.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 21:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 16:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.