Negligible-Bagel
0x7e909581cca92847ebabb126cd0fb2ae41417680
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-494.00
Realised
$-17.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?
500 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?
500 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-51.00
- YES
RFK Jr & Cheryl Hines divorce in 2024?
346 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-225.20
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
187 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-63.38
- NO
Will Trump say "get out and vote" during Georgia rally on October 23?
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2024$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Trump say "cheat" during Georgia rally on October 23?
66 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2024$0.00
$-45.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$63.38Oct 30, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Pocahontas" during Georgia rally on October 23?$63.38Oct 30, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "cheat" during Georgia rally on October 23?$45.28Oct 23, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pocahontas" during Georgia rally on October 23?$45.00Oct 23, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "get out and vote" during Georgia rally on October 23?$12.00Oct 23, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Milton make landfall as a category 3?$65.46Oct 9, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Milton" during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?$36.40Oct 9, 07:32 UTC
- REWARD$0.42Oct 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Milton make landfall as a category 3?$26.22Oct 8, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWho will win the VP debate according to polls?$4.82Oct 8, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWho will win the VP debate according to polls?$3.40Oct 8, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Milton make landfall as a category 5?$5.32Oct 8, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Milton make landfall as a category 5?$10.00Oct 8, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Milton make landfall as a category 5?$1.00Oct 8, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Milton make landfall as a category 5?$0.17Oct 8, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Milton make landfall as a category 5?$1.51Oct 8, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Milton make landfall as a category 3?$70.72Oct 8, 06:07 UTC
- REWARD$0.86Oct 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Milton make landfall as a category 5?$20.00Oct 7, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Milton" during Pennsylvania rally on October 9?$20.50Oct 7, 23:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $43.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 17:44 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 17:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".