Pessimistic-Mover
0x7e92a3230cfda2e785af96d6ebebf48acc865f27
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-42.06
Realised
$1.75
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will any other candidate win the Romanian presidential election?
4100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.81
- NO
Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
206 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-8.46
- YES
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
103 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross more than $52m opening weekend?
55 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2025$0.00
$-9.03
- YES
Will Issa Tchiroma Bakary win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
36 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
10 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?$2.09Feb 28, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$2.09Feb 28, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$5.00Feb 28, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?$5.00Feb 28, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Issa Tchiroma Bakary win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$1.05Oct 22, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$0.11Oct 22, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end by October 24?$0.21Oct 22, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end by October 31?$0.72Oct 22, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by October 31?$1.31Oct 20, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by October 24?$1.00Oct 20, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$1.36Oct 20, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?$0.95Oct 20, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?$1.17Oct 20, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$0.27Oct 20, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$0.05Oct 20, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$1.50Oct 20, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$1.37Oct 15, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$1.36Oct 15, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$1.53Oct 14, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLPistons vs. Cavaliers$1.46Oct 14, 23:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 06:31 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 23:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".