Jaded-Omnivore
0x7eb862be9cb28e2371b5b4a00474f78c64e2bd2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-75.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?
2466 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-40.95
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump say "border" 25 or more times during his Georgia speech?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Crypto/Bitcoin" during his Georgia speech?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
1000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Trump sentenced to between 0 and 11 months prison time?
200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2024$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Trump sentenced to between 12 and 23 months prison time?
200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2024$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?
200 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-2.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRob Goldstein announced as next BlackRock CEO?$0.10Nov 9, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRob Goldstein announced as next BlackRock CEO?$0.00Nov 9, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYRob Goldstein announced as next BlackRock CEO?$0.00Nov 9, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYRob Goldstein announced as next BlackRock CEO?$0.00Nov 9, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?$0.14Nov 9, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?$0.00Nov 9, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?$0.00Nov 9, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRob Goldstein announced as next BlackRock CEO?$0.00Nov 9, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?$0.00Nov 9, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?$0.04Nov 9, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?$0.04Nov 9, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?$0.03Nov 9, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?$0.57Nov 8, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?$0.11Nov 8, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?$0.01Nov 8, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?$0.01Nov 8, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?$0.02Nov 8, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYRob Goldstein announced as next BlackRock CEO?$0.01Nov 8, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?$0.10Nov 8, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?$0.13Nov 8, 10:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 19:10 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 9, 16:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.