Solid-Letter
0x7ebed4b77d3248d1701d938d64c80809d8325e03
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04?
4935 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
Will Bolivia vs. Brazil end in a draw?
3570 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-999.60
- RANGERS
Diamondbacks vs. Rangers
3105 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- NO
Will Alaves vs. Valencia end in a draw?
2755 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 2?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Solana dip to $130 October 27-November 2?
1111 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.11
- YES
Arsenal wins the Premier League?
10 shares @ 38.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.81
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
5 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04?$2.8KJun 4, 02:56 UTC
- REWARD$0.48May 20, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.11May 20, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.11May 19, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 2?$2.00Dec 2, 07:05 UTC
- REWARD$2.07Dec 1, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.83Nov 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $130 October 27-November 2?$1.11Nov 2, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alaves vs. Valencia end in a draw?$1.8KOct 20, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alaves vs. Valencia end in a draw?$144.59Oct 20, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw?$5.5KOct 4, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw?$0.47Oct 3, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw?$7.30Oct 3, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw?$348.21Oct 3, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw?$67.59Oct 3, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw?$2.70Oct 3, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw?$40.56Oct 3, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw?$3.5KOct 3, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bolivia vs. Brazil end in a draw?$238.69Sep 9, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bolivia vs. Brazil end in a draw?$760.91Sep 9, 08:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $278.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 13:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 02:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.