Third-Fluke
0x7ec846ad75cc89122b817cd2489f3d36fb5d23e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$23.10
Total PnL
$-47.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$11.11
$8.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$9.80
$4.80
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
13 shares @ 39.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.27
$-4.73
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
279 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.17Jun 4, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$10.25May 30, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.20May 6, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.20May 6, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.18May 6, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.05May 6, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.05May 6, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1.00May 6, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.16May 6, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.12May 6, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$3.09May 6, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$5.36May 6, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$5.36May 6, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 3?$1.07May 3, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 3?$1.07May 3, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?$1.07May 3, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?$5.35May 3, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?$2.00Apr 27, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$3.00Apr 26, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$2.00Apr 26, 16:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $3.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 16:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 18:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.