Expert-Voice
0x7ee3c5994ce99d4404b00cb381491471bedec20d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-304.00
Realised
$-119.67
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
557 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-11.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
124 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-66.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
58 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-30.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET
46 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-24.01
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?
35 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
19 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.16
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
19 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.16
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
18 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$11.91Jun 27, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$12.12Jun 27, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$5.18Jun 27, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET$24.82May 15, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$30.70Apr 13, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$30.71Apr 12, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$15.62Apr 12, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$5.86Apr 10, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$10.00Apr 10, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$10.00Apr 8, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$10.00Apr 5, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$10.57Apr 4, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$17.35Apr 4, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$107.87Apr 3, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$60.00Apr 3, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$9.69Apr 3, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$0.00Apr 2, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$79.69Apr 2, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$42.13Apr 2, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$42.12Apr 2, 17:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $24.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 08:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 17:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.