Amusing-Brace
0x7ee4d44ac5d23a2630478d5f24409e2c21a717e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$1.0KMay 14, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?$400.00Apr 20, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces cutting all military aid to Ukraine aid before April?$0.00Apr 20, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$1.4KApr 20, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$1.1KMar 8, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces cutting all military aid to Ukraine aid before April?$100.00Mar 5, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?$0.00Mar 5, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?$0.00Mar 5, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?$1.2KMar 5, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?$1.1KMar 1, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?$300.00Feb 27, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?$200.00Feb 27, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$1.6KFeb 25, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$1.1KFeb 23, 06:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $854.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 06:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 21:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.