Dry-Embassy
0x7eecec255a1ee7a2d719d4e8a1638608bd04c8ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-687.35
Realised
$25.78
Win rate
24%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
95 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on July 17?
88 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-8.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 18?
86 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 18?
86 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 18?
86 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on June 18?
86 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C or higher on June 18?
86 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 18?
86 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 17?
81 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on July 17?
81 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.38
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 1?$0.00Jul 30, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 30?$0.00Jul 30, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 40°C on August 1?$0.01Jul 30, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 1?$0.00Jul 30, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 1?$0.00Jul 30, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 43°C on August 1?$0.01Jul 30, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C or below on August 1?$0.01Jul 30, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 43°C on August 1?$0.01Jul 30, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 41°C or higher on August 1?$0.00Jul 30, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 1?$0.00Jul 30, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C or below on August 1?$0.01Jul 30, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C or higher on August 1?$0.09Jul 30, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 30?$0.00Jul 30, 06:27 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Beijing on July 30?$0.00Jul 30, 06:27 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Beijing on July 30?$0.00Jul 30, 06:27 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Beijing on July 30?$0.01Jul 30, 06:27 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Beijing on July 30?$29.95Jul 30, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 30?$5.83Jul 30, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 30?$9.61Jul 30, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 30?$4.00Jul 30, 06:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
24% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 06:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 07:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.