Excitable-Hardening
0x7ef96d47748a0fdc8452e84279fbdf9702276395
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$5.29
Total PnL
$-2.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
5 shares @ 66.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$4.54
$1.54
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?
8 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- JAGUARS
Bills vs. Jaguars
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- EAGLES
Eagles vs. Chargers
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- EAGLES
49ers vs. Eagles
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBills vs. Jaguars$1.00Jan 11, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUY49ers vs. Eagles$1.00Jan 11, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEagles vs. Chargers$1.00Dec 4, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$2.89Nov 28, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$0.80Nov 28, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by March 31?$1.00Nov 25, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$1.00Nov 12, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$2.00Nov 12, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$3.00Nov 12, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMGiants vs. Eagles$1.32Nov 12, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$1.00Nov 11, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$5.00Nov 11, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.77Oct 30, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$2.51Oct 30, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 28, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.00Oct 28, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Oct 25, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGiants vs. Eagles$1.00Oct 25, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?$11.51Feb 11, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMSuper Bowl LIX Winner$10.64Feb 10, 07:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 11, 16:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.