Deafening-Therapist
0x7efa5f5901f7e2ae1864fea1a855629ca3e08ece
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$4.73
Total PnL
$-41.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.29
$0.03
- NO
Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.34
$0.07
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.10
$0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8PM ET
5470 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-23.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7PM ET
400 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-17.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.09Jun 11, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.26Jun 11, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.27Jun 11, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on May 22?$1.12Jun 11, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?$2.45Jun 11, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.40Jun 11, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on May 22?$1.12May 21, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?$2.26May 21, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.26May 21, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.14May 21, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$1.11Apr 13, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$2.46Apr 13, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$4.61Apr 13, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8AM ET$49.93Apr 13, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.10Apr 13, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8PM ET$0.50Apr 13, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8PM ET$1.00Apr 13, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8PM ET$1.00Apr 13, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8PM ET$1.00Apr 13, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8PM ET$1.00Apr 13, 00:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 23:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 05:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.