Frilly-Chaos
0x7efc8ee11a3b0495a028e6164c046d360382687e
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$312.08
Total PnL
$11.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
56 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$55.56
$15.56
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
54 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$53.76
$3.76
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
52 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$52.47
$2.47
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by February 28?
48 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$48.19
$8.19
- NO
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
27 shares @ 74.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.82
$6.82
- NO
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
27 shares @ 75.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.40
$6.40
- NO
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
23 shares @ 87.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.77
$2.77
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$22.73
$2.73
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.13
$1.13
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.25
$0.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$111.17Feb 24, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$50.00Feb 20, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$51.95Feb 20, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$50.00Feb 18, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$50.00Feb 18, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 18, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?$10.69Feb 12, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?$27.00Feb 11, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske by February 28?$40.00Feb 10, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$40.00Feb 10, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?$1.02Feb 10, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?$1.08Feb 10, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?$2.22Feb 10, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?$50.00Feb 8, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$50.00Feb 8, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?$20.00Feb 3, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?$20.00Feb 3, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Prymorske by February 28, 2026?$20.00Feb 2, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?$20.00Feb 2, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?$20.00Feb 2, 15:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $18.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 14:33 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 11:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.