Rich-Gossip
0x7efc9f6623ddd6b7c36e2afeb6a64e1141498d38
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-112.73
Realised
$1.68
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 15?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on November 4?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on November 17?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November 18?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 9?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on November 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
120 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.80
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
114 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.72
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
37 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.10Jul 21, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.14Jul 21, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.09Jul 21, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.97Jul 21, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.10Jul 21, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.33Jul 21, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$2.09Jul 21, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$2.09Jul 20, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$2.14Jul 20, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$2.77Jul 17, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$2.11Jul 17, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$2.20Jul 17, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$2.08Jul 17, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$3.53Jul 17, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$2.09Jul 17, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$2.13Jul 17, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$2.09Jul 17, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$2.31Jul 17, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$2.07Jul 17, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$2.19Jul 16, 09:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 08:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 09:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.