Subtle-Guilder
0x7efd24da2dc5729bac2de953241adfeb9543b395
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$20.99
Total PnL
$-9.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US government shutdown Saturday?
19 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$18.99
$3.99
- TEAM TPABOMAH
Dota 2: Team Stariy_Bog vs Team TPaBoMaH (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $110K on June 17?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on June 17?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Stariy_Bog vs Team TPaBoMaH (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A$2.00Jan 27, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$15.00Jan 27, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: September$2.08Jan 27, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.32Jan 27, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$7.45Jan 27, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$28.62Jan 27, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Oct 30, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$7.00Oct 30, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$28.10Sep 29, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: September$2.00Sep 29, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on June 17?$20.00Aug 21, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$5.11Aug 21, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $110K on June 17?$3.00Jun 17, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on June 17?$10.00Jun 17, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on June 17?$5.00Jun 17, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$12.79Jun 17, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$10.00Apr 26, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMGrizzlies vs. Kings$294.74Mar 21, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Kings$68.00Mar 17, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Kings$100.00Mar 17, 13:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $542.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 13:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 15:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".