Chief-Grabbag
0x7f117c4767ec94ced15b50f24111b47ca17c3a54
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$20.40
Total PnL
$7.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$9.43
$4.43
- NO
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
7 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.67
$2.67
- NO
Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?
4 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$4.30
$0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? $5.00Feb 15, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Brutalist" win Best Film at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?$19.97Feb 14, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Brutalist" win Best Film at the 2025 BAFTA Awards?$21.74Feb 14, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?$7.88Feb 14, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump end USAID in first 100 days?$3.95Feb 14, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?$3.95Feb 14, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEgypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?$4.00Feb 14, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$4.00Feb 14, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?$4.00Feb 14, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?$4.00Feb 14, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump end USAID in first 100 days?$4.00Feb 14, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$7.29Feb 14, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?$4.00Feb 14, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$4.00Feb 13, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$4.00Feb 13, 20:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $6.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 20:47 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 01:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".