Elliptical-Perspective
0x7f1d4b950c6392650713252cebac3293d5f745dc
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$99.75
Realised
$41.69
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
635 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$624.83
$9.56
- NO
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
486 shares @ 92.7¢·now 92.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$449.27
$-1.95
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
395 shares @ 94.1¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$377.82
$6.14
- NO
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
331 shares @ 95.4¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$321.76
$5.96
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
298 shares @ 92.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$278.19
$2.59
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
250 shares @ 95.6¢·now 97.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$244.12
$5.09
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
241 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$230.25
$0.56
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
274 shares @ 82.6¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$226.09
$-0.36
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
230 shares @ 87.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$219.65
$17.55
- NO
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$192.90
$0.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$192.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$18.388h ago
- YIELD$0.0011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$297.841d ago
- YIELD$0.001d ago
- TRADEBUYNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?$1.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$9.192d ago
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$9.192d ago
- TRADESELLUS x China Military clash before 2027?$144.002d ago
- REDEEMWill Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$100.002d ago
- REDEEMWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$276.192d ago
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$6.432d ago
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$11.952d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$2.762d ago
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$11.053d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$97.093d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$19.923d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$49.273d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?$100.093d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $54.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
