Empty-Banquette
0x7f1f06698abd8d27b8b9c86764de5684702feb96
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$408.80
Total PnL
$682.50
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
50%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- YES
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
97 shares @ 69.5¢·now 58.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.36
$-11.06
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
240 shares @ 17.9¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$32.40
$-10.69
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 24?
40 shares @ 74.1¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$29.32
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 23?
55 shares @ 44.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$26.83
$2.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 24?
29 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$19.00
$0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?
18 shares @ 41.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$17.97
$10.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 24?
23 shares @ 68.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$15.51
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 23?
29 shares @ 53.2¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$15.26
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 23?
27 shares @ 63.2¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$14.79
$-2.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 24?
22 shares @ 55.2¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$12.09
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 23?$0.90Jul 23, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 24?$2.20Jul 23, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 24?$30.45Jul 23, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 24?$2.19Jul 23, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 24?$17.47Jul 23, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 24?$15.51Jul 23, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 24?$25.62Jul 23, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 24?$4.42Jul 23, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 24?$4.60Jul 23, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 24?$13.73Jul 23, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 24?$8.37Jul 23, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 24?$8.00Jul 23, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 23?$2.56Jul 23, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 24?$10.90Jul 23, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 24?$11.20Jul 23, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 24?$24.00Jul 23, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 23?$1.85Jul 23, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 24?$24.33Jul 23, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 24?$51.33Jul 23, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 24?$41.25Jul 23, 02:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 44 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
44 closed markets, 50% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $13.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 04:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.