Burdensome-Hit
0x7f279444b05b23c0772a2e0747fbe2a7eacc7a85
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$9.75
Total PnL
$-322.48
Realised
$-157.16
Win rate
5%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
1111 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.78
$-0.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
60 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.9¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$1.74
$0.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
221 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$1.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
80 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.76
$-0.28
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
565 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.56
$-0.69
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.38
$-0.88
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
25 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.16
$-1.09
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$0.00Aug 7, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$2.14Aug 7, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$0.00Aug 7, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$0.44Aug 7, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$0.00Aug 7, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$2.14Aug 7, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$0.00Aug 7, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$0.00Aug 7, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$2.14Aug 7, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$2.14Aug 7, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$0.00Aug 7, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$2.14Aug 7, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$0.00Aug 7, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$2.14Aug 7, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Aug 7, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$2.14Aug 7, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$0.00Aug 7, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$2.14Aug 7, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$0.00Aug 7, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$2.14Aug 7, 04:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
42 closed markets, 5% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 19:34 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 06:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.