Ideal-Ectodermal
0x7f343e36e169a970b772d2a647587529a6e1a673
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$26.09
Total PnL
$-37.28
Realised
$-0.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of July 20 2026?
20 shares @ 93.9¢·now 79.8¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$15.96
$-2.82
- NO
Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Bottom 5 Seed to Make LAN
20 shares @ 93.5¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.40
$-11.30
- NO
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 4.7¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.02
$-0.33
- YES
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 Week of July 20 2026?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.41
$0.39
- YES
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of July 20 2026?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.15
$0.13
- U 1.5
Will VARREL Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Pacific Stage 2
20 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.11
$-0.29
- NO
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.03
$-0.23
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $308 Week of July 20 2026?
20 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.01
$-0.01
- YES
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
80 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.16
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 27?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?$0.25Jul 24, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?$0.08Jul 24, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?$2.27Jul 24, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of July 20 2026?$18.78Jul 24, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $308 Week of July 20 2026?$0.02Jul 24, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 Week of July 20 2026?$0.02Jul 24, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $138 Week of July 20 2026?$0.02Jul 24, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Bottom 5 Seed to Make LAN$18.70Jul 24, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?$0.28Jul 24, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill American Express say "Airline" during earnings call?$0.04Jul 24, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?$0.59Jul 24, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?$0.05Jul 24, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?$0.80Jul 24, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?$1.91Jul 24, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?$1.50Jul 24, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Verizon say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?$0.03Jul 24, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill American Express say "Refresh" during earnings call?$0.04Jul 24, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill American Express say "Refresh" during earnings call?$0.14Jul 24, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Verizon say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during earnings call?$0.21Jul 24, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Verizon say "Prepaid" during earnings call?$0.06Jul 24, 12:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 11:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 16:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.