Willing-Basketball
0x7f36c5e0c273d7f2deb0324522785b74244d4cd9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-724.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- OVER
Vissel Kōbe vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 4.5
521 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-83.30
- YES
Will Meta (META) close at $620-$630 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?
339 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-36.95
- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at >$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?
295 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-259.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 18?
234 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.72
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.30 January 26-1?
197 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
- NO
Will Meta (META) close above $700 end of January?
183 shares @ 68.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-125.31
- YES
Will Meta (META) finish week of December 29 above $710?
171 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.59
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 25?
170 shares @ 83.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-142.26
- YES
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?
170 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.53
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 16?
159 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$16.16Jul 2, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$15.98Jun 27, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close at >$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?$259.17Apr 5, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMGame 1: Any Player Penta Kill?$182.14Apr 5, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 1: Any Player Penta Kill?$171.21Mar 29, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 23 above $100?$222.88Mar 29, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYVissel Kōbe vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 4.5$83.30Mar 24, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 23 above $100?$205.05Mar 23, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close at $620-$630 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$18.25Mar 23, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close at $620-$630 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$18.70Mar 22, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMSV Darmstadt 98 vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 1.5$345.35Mar 22, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSV Darmstadt 98 vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 1.5$259.01Mar 19, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.10 February 9-15?$1.73Feb 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on February 11?$12.14Feb 9, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on February 1?$5.95Jan 29, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.30 January 26-1?$6.90Jan 29, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $700 end of January?$125.31Jan 27, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.70 January 19-25?$149.34Jan 27, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.70 January 19-25?$146.80Jan 24, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?$114.53Jan 24, 02:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $83.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 09:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 04:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.