Pleased-Winery
0x7f41b7647eb61770f251d38cd7fac5af527ef4a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$22.41
Total PnL
$-36.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
4 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$4.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
3 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
2 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$2.05
$0.05
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$3.05Nov 26, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 22, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?$2.03Nov 22, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?$1.00Nov 19, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 19?$1.00Nov 19, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 17?$1.02Nov 19, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 18, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 17?$1.00Nov 17, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Nov 12, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hanks win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Nov 11, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?$1.01Nov 10, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cuomo x Mamdani debate two times before election?$1.03Nov 10, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.08Nov 10, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 10, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?$1.00Nov 5, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?$0.00Nov 4, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by October 31?$0.00Nov 4, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $350 in October?$0.00Nov 4, 07:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 26, 07:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".